Thursday, July 5, 2012

M6.1 Solar Flare + CME, July 5, 2012


     Once again Sunspot Region 1515 has produced a significant event, releasing a M6.1 S/F lasting in duration from 11:39 :00 untill 11:49:00 ,and  peaking at 11:44:00 UTC today July 5, 2012. Another M1.2 peaking at 13:17 swiftly followed with a large CME eruption off of the  sw limb.  Current projections do not see this CME being geoeffective.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 174
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 05 1146 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 05 1145 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/index.html.
Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 93
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 05 1224 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 05 1139 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Jul 05 1144 UTC
End Time: 2012 Jul 05 1149 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.1
Optical Class: 1b
Location: S20W32
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.
Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 552
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 05 1230 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 05 1142 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Jul 05 1144 UTC
End Time: 2012 Jul 05 1145 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 290 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 163 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

These events continue unfoldindg and we will be updating this post with new information and images as the day progresses; so continue to check back here for your latest updates.



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Update @ 14:00:00 UTC

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1958
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 05 1303 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Jul 05 1302 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jul 05 1900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.



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