Sunday, November 10, 2013

X1.1 Solar Flare From Sunspot 1890 - November 10, 2013

  As seen in the EVE image to the left, sunspot 1890 is directly Earth facing and has just produced a strong X1.1 solar flare at 05:14UTC.

Looking at the latest STEREO images, there is a CME that was produced along with this X flare.
More updated images are needed to tell the direction and speed of this CME. 

Check back often for further updates.

 The Goddard Space Flight Center CME model has been updated. The CME that was produced in association with this X flare is expected to have a direct Earth impact and will arrive late on Nov. 12th through early Nov. 13

November 10 2013 CME

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re

Click HERE to view the animated CME model

Friday, November 8, 2013

Sunspot 1890 Is Now Directly Earth Facing

   Monster sunspot 1890 has today rotated into a direct line with Earth, raising the possibility of any geoeffective events over the next 48-72 hours. The size of 1890 has decreased some over the past few days, with a area size of 920 being reported by solen on Nov 8th.

   Even with the decrease in size sunspot 1890 retained a magnetic delta structure in the southeastern section making chances high that we will see more activity from the sunspot over the next few days. NOAA forecasters are estimating a 60% chance of M-class solar flares and a 20% chance of X-flares for Nov 8th.
For a complete list of solar flares that we have had during November 2013, please visit our updated Solar Flare List page.

X1.1 Solar Flare From Sunspot 1890 - November 10, 2013
CHANCE OF FLARES: Big sunspot AR1890 has quieted since the X-flare of Nov. 8th, but this could be the calm before the storm. The sprawling Jupiter-sized sunspot has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong flares. NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of M-class flares and a 20% chance of X-flares on Nov. 10th. credit: